新闻来源：www.bloomberg.com
原文地址：Latest Oil Market News and Analysis for Sept. 16
新闻日期：2024-09-16
Libya出口减少，加之中国经济放缓加剧影响，全球油价有所下跌。
Brent期货交易接近72美元每桶，而西德士气介质上则为69美元以上。由于联合国领导的谈判未能控制中央银行，导致Libya的石油工业受到影响。中国的周末数据显示，工业产出连续下降时间比过去两年还要长，且投资也超出预期，这意味着今年5%的增长目标可能难以实现。
在全球供应增加的影响下，Brent期货已下跌约17%，接近2021年末水平。
根据EA量分析，Brent期货首次出现净空头，这是油市中趋势跟随最熊的趋势之一，表明一种卖压可能已经减弱。Citigroup Inc.的分析师在一份报告中表示：“Libya供应损失持续以及俄罗斯OPEC+的遵守度提高，应能使第四季度全球石油市场维持小幅季节性赤字。”不过，他们也预计“市场开始为2025年进行定价时，会出现过剩”。
此外，还报道了一场台风在上海地区登陆，是1949年以来中国金融中心和主要航运港口遭遇的最强台风。中国的金融市场将在周一至周二因国庆假期而关闭。
原文摘要：
following its first weekly gain in a month as traders weighed a drop in Libyan exports against signs that an economic slowdown in China is deepening.Brent futures traded near $72 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate was above $69. Libyan exports have declined markedly as United Nations-led talks failed to over control of the central bank, which has spilled over into its oil industry.Chinese data over the weekend showed industrial output in the longest since 2021 and investment falling more than expected, with the official economic growth goal of 5% for this year looking increasingly out of reach. The worsening situation in the No. 1 crude importer — along with an increase in global supply — have pushed Brent down by about 17% this quarter to near the lowest since late 2021.Those moves have come against the backdrop of record negative positioning. With positions in Brent turning net-short for the first time, trend-following are near their most bearish levels in the oil market, according to EA Quant Analytics, a sign that one source of selling pressure may now abate. “Ongoing supply losses from Libya and improved OPEC+ compliance from Russia should keep global oil markets in a small counter-seasonal deficit,” in the fourth quarter, Citigroup Inc. analysts including said in a note. “Yet we still see a shift as the market starts to price 2025,” with a surplus expected, they added.The market is also tracking , which made landfall near Shanghai. It’s the strongest storm to hit China’s financial capital and major shipping hub since 1949. Financial markets in the country are closed on Monday and Tuesday for a national holiday.To get Bloomberg’s newsletter into your inbox, click .
