亚洲开发银行最新发布的报告指出，本年度亚洲经济扩张速度有望比此前预期略微加速，并且通胀水平将低于原先预计。这得益于全球经济对科技产品与半导体的强劲需求。此外，亚太地区各发展国家预计整体增长速度为5%，较今年4月的预测提升0.1个百分点；而排除中国之外的其他亚洲地区的经济增长，预计将略有提速至5.1%。
报告中指出，“我们观察到的是不仅有周期性放缓的趋势在华呈现，更有结构性减缓的现象。”该组织首席经济学家Albert Park在报告发布前的线上媒体简报会上表示。他进一步解释说：“中国房地产行业的触底回升以及复苏现象是否能在本年内实现，并在2025年反弹，这一设想是否合理，其实并没那么明确。”
这表明，尽管整体经济增长有所提振，但亚洲多国仍然面临着来自中国的经济放缓压力和复杂性，结构性问题也对预测带来了一定的不确定性。
新闻来源：www.bloomberg.com
原文地址：ADB Sees Higher Asia Growth, Weaker Prices on China’s Deflation
新闻日期：2024-09-25
原文摘要：
Asian economies are set to expand at a slightly faster pace and inflation to ease more than expected this year, according to the Asian Development Bank, as China’s growth slows.Growth among developing Asian nations is likely to rise 5% this year, from a 4.9% forecast in April, the ADB said, on global demand for technology and semiconductors. Inflation, meanwhile, is seen cooling to 2.8% largely because of weak prices and demand in China.Meanwhile, the region excluding China is seen rising at a marginally faster pace of 5.1%.“We’re seeing not just a cyclical slowdown in China but a structural one,” Albert Park, chief economist at the organization, said during an online press briefing ahead of the report’s publication. “It’s really not so obvious whether that’s a realistic expectation” for China’s property sector to bottom this year and rebound in 2025, he added.
