中国政策制定者推出全面刺激方案以提振需求,并阻止世界第二大经济体滑向通缩陷阱。

倾听“Here’s Why”播客,获取更多信息 [链接]。

中国人民银行下调了一年期贷款利率,并放松了对第二套住房购买的规则。同时,政府发放现金补助,为部分失业毕业生提供了新补贴,中央政治局承诺增加财政支出以遏制房价下跌。

以下是本周关于全球经济、市场和地缘政治动态的一些图表:

中国央行针对一年政策贷款调低利率,启动了一项旨在重振信心的大规模刺激计划。此举显示出为经济赢得了宝贵时间;不过经济学家认为仅凭此措施不足以让18万亿美元的中国经济从陷入长期低迷(房价大跌、消费价格疲软和加剧的全球贸易紧张)中解脱出来。

中国中央银行将指导市场利率的一年期政策贷款利率下调了,这是自2016年开始使用该货币工具以来幅度最大的一次。印度黄金需求预计将强劲增长,这在进口税削减及喜庆季节推动购买下达到高峰。

美国核心个人消费支出价格指数在8月略有上升,符合美联储目标。经济总体反弹态势强于预期,主要由消费者驱动的增长和刺激措施所带动;国民收入的年度全面更新也显示上半年国内生产总值得以上调,将支撑家庭开支。

商品市场已从2022年高点下跌了19%,表明商业地产可能已经触底回弹。原因在于借贷方与拥有者欲减少亏损并把握时机进行新投资,因为美联储年内首次降息带来了对估值看法的清晰度。

欧洲央行正考虑调整利率减码步伐以应对法国和西班牙通胀率下探至2%以下的局面。

墨西哥再度下调利率作为连续会议的一部分,原因是通货膨胀数据增长快于预期,经济增长或将进入第三年减速期。Banxico官员预计当前环境为未来进一步调整参考利率提供了可能空间。

赞比亚经济料将在2025年实现13年来最高增长率,得益于其从百多年来最严重干旱中恢复的态势。瑞典央行保持利率稳定不动,而Riksbank则减低了借贷成本,并暗示将有更大的行动出现。澳大利亚、新西兰、丹麦和瑞士等国分别调整了政策利率,英国央行则维持利率不变。

以色列对黎巴嫩进行了一次多年来最强烈的导弹打击,针对Hezbollah目标,以此回应首次由该激进组织向特拉维夫发射的导弹。美国、欧洲以及阿拉伯国家正努力缓和紧张局势,并防止以军对黎巴嫩的大规模入侵,这场冲突可能造成高昂的人道主义和经济损失,甚至引发波及整个地区的战争。

中国向太平洋发射了洲际导弹,这是其40年来首次公开的测试行动,此举加剧了美国关切,在联合国大会期间试图影响各国领导人。

请继续关注我们关于更多全球重要动态的信息报道。


新闻来源:www.bloomberg.com
原文地址:World Economy Latest: China Opens Up Stimulus Flood Gates
新闻日期:2024-09-28
原文摘要:

China’s policymakers uncorked sweeping stimulus measures aimed at bolstering demand and keeping the world’s second-largest economy from slipping into a deflationary spiral.Listen to the Here’s Why podcast on , or .The People’s Bank of China slashed  on one-year loans and eased rules on purchases of second homes. The  also issued cash handouts and floated new subsidies for some jobless graduates, while the Politburo vowed to boost fiscal spending to arrest a decline in property prices.Here are some of the charts that appeared on  this week on the latest developments in the global economy, markets and geopolitics:A booming market reaction to the  suggests that the central bank has bought the Chinese economy some precious time. Yet economists believe this is  if President Xi Jinping is going to pull the roughly $18 trillion economy out of a protracted slump marked by a property market blowout, consumer price weakness and rising global trade tensions.China’s central bank lowered the interest rate charged on its one-year policy loans by the , kicking off a sweeping program to revive confidence. The People’s Bank of China cut the rate of the medium-term lending facility to 2% from 2.3%, the biggest reduction since the bank began using the monetary tool to guide market interest rates in 2016.Indian  looks set for a strong few months as a cut to the import tax and what’s likely to be a buoyant festival and wedding season drive purchases in the world’s second-biggest consumer of the precious metal.The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of underlying  and household spending rose modestly in August, underscoring a cooling economy. On a three-month annualized basis, the core personal consumption expenditures price index rose 2.1%, in line with the central bank’s target.The US economy bounced back from the pandemic in stronger shape than previously estimated, spurred mainly by bigger consumer-driven growth fueled by . The Bureau of Economic Analysis’ comprehensive annual update also showed gross domestic income was revised higher into the first half of this year, which will help support household spending.With prices down 19% from a peak in 2022, the commercial-property market is . In part, that’s because lenders and owners want to cut their losses and make new investments now that the Fed’s first rate cut in four years is bringing some clarity on where valuations stand.The Swiss National Bank cut  by a quarter point at a third straight meeting and warned of more to come if needed in its attempt to contain the strength of the franc. With one of the world’s lowest rates, the central bank has limited scope to keep reducing it in any extended confrontation with the foreign-exchange market.Inflation in France and Spain plunged below 2%, fueling predictions by investors and economists that the European Central Bank will  the pace of interest-rate cuts.Mexico reduced  for a second straight meeting Thursday as inflation readings are easing faster than expected and the economy heads for a third year of slower growth. Banxico officials expect that the inflationary environment will allow further reference rate adjustments.Zambia’s economy will probably grow at its  in 13 years in 2025 as it bounces back from the worst drought in more than a century.  kept interest rates unchanged, while ’s Riksbank cut borrowing costs and raised the possibility of a bigger step in coming months. , , the  and  lowered rates, while  held steady.  surprised with a half-point hike to quell inflation, support its currency and attract investments.Israel stepped up its heaviest  on Hezbollah targets in Lebanon since 2006 after shooting down the first missile ever fired by the militant group at Tel Aviv. The US, Europe and Arab states are striving to calm the escalating fighting and prevent an Israeli ground offensive on Lebanon, which would likely entail large human and economic costs. Such a scenario could spiral into a region-wide war that risks dragging Washington and Tehran into direct conflict.China launched an intercontinental  into the Pacific Ocean in what appeared to be its first such public test in some four decades, a move likely to rattle the US as it seeks to sway world leaders at a meeting of the United Nations General Assembly.

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